The 50 most recent market catalysts affecting $SPY, each scored for sentiment and estimated stock impact. Sourced from SEC EDGAR filings and financial news, analysed automatically as they are published.
Sep 24, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 65
Trump Disapproval Hits Record High in New Poll: 56% Say President Has Done Worse than Expected
The filing primarily details a new Emerson College poll indicating a significant decline in President Trump's approval ratings and a strong lead for Democrats in the generic 2026 m…
Sep 24, 2026
Geopolitical Risk
Bearish
Impact 75
S&P 500 Erases Losses as US, Iran Reportedly Discuss Hormuz Deal: Stock Market Today
The market experienced a significant intraday swing due to unconfirmed reports of a potential US-Iran deal involving the Strait of Hormuz and the lifting of economic sanctions. Thi…
Sep 24, 2026
Market Technicals
Neutral
Impact 55
Watching ProShares S&P 500 ETF; Hearing Investor Business Daily SwingTrader Sells Fund
The headline signals a tactical bearish move by a prominent trading publication, Investor's Business Daily SwingTrader, on the ProShares S&P 500 ETF (SPY). This action, while not a…
Sep 24, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
USA Continuing Jobless Claims 1,719K Vs 1,750K Est.
The lower-than-expected continuing jobless claims indicate a stronger labor market than anticipated. This could lead the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance for longer, as…
Sep 24, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 85
NY Fed’s Williams Earlier, Said US Economy Shows Remarkable Resilience, Inflation Remains Big Challenge, Another Rate Hike By Year-End Reasonable
The statement from NY Fed's Williams reinforces the 'higher for longer' interest rate narrative, indicating the Fed is not done fighting inflation despite economic resilience. This…
Sep 24, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 65
Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?
The filing highlights several factors contributing to a projected lower open for the S&P 500. Key among these are the ongoing US-China trade and AI discussions, which introduce geo…
Sep 23, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 65
Fed's Goolsbee Speaking On 'Economics, Applied' Podcast Says Better To Assume Bigger Negative Supply Shocks Have Persistent Effect On Inflation, As With Tariffs, COVID And Possibly Oil
Fed Governor Goolsbee's comments on the 'Economics, Applied' podcast highlight a crucial shift in how central bankers might view inflation. He suggests that major negative supply s…
Sep 23, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 65
Fed's Barr Says Risks To Achieving 2% Inflation Have Increased, Risks To Labor Market Have Receded
The 8-K filing itself is merely a link to an event where Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michael Barr is scheduled to speak. The provided headline 'Fed's Barr Says Risks To Achieving 2%…
Sep 23, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
USA S&P Global Composite PMI For September 58.4 Vs 56.0 Prior
This strong PMI reading signals robust economic expansion, which is generally positive for corporate earnings. However, the key risk lies in its implications for monetary policy; a…
Sep 23, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Stock Market Today: Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Drop as Trump Threatens to 'Annihilate' Iran at UNGA—KB Home, Worthington, IONQ in Focus (UPDATED)
The filing indicates a broad market downturn in U.S. stock futures, primarily attributed to geopolitical risk stemming from President Trump's 'annihilate' Iran comments at the UNGA…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 65
Fed's Barkin Says Businesses And Institutions Are Less Reluctant To Make Investment And Spending Decisions After Era Of Uncertainty; Would Not Yet Make An Overheating Case, But Economy Is Firming And Not Weakening; Many Businesses Still Feel They Have Pricing Power; Tempering Business Expectations About Inflation May Help Cool Price Pressures Versus Needing To Rely On Demand Destruction; Banking Conditions Right Now Seem Very Healthy
The filing summarizes remarks from Fed's Barkin, a regional Fed president, offering insights into the current economic landscape. His comments suggest a more robust economy than pr…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 75
Fed's Barkin Says U.S. Central Bank Raised Rates Last Week Because Risks To Inflation Outweigh Risks To Maximum Employment; Last Week's Rate Hike 'will Help' Restore Price Stability, We'll See If More Hikes Are Needed; Tempting To Blame High Inflation On Handful Of Categories Exposed To Energy Costs Or Tariffs, But Much Of The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index Is Rising By More Than 3%; There Is Momentum Outside Data Centers, AI, With Consumer Spending Holding Up, Strength In Defense And Manufacturing
Federal Reserve official Thomas Barkin's comments highlight the Fed's ongoing concern with inflation, stating that the risks to inflation outweigh those to maximum employment. This…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 65
New York Fed President John Williams Says Rate Control System Very Effective, Fed Will Adjust Policy Implementation Strategy As Needed; Monitoring Rise Of Centrally Cleared Repo
New York Fed President John Williams's statements confirm the central bank's confidence in its current rate control mechanisms while signaling flexibility to adapt policy implement…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
ADP Employment Change Weekly 20.0K Vs 16.30K Prior
The ADP Employment Change is a key leading indicator for the broader labor market, often influencing expectations for the official Non-Farm Payrolls report. A lower-than-expected i…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 65
S&P 500 Boom Is Sending Older Americans Into ‘Retirement Party,’ Economists Say ‘Strength of the Equity Market Is Partly to Blame’
Bank of America economists Stephen Juneau and Aditya Bhave have identified a significant trend: the robust performance of the S&P 500 is contributing to a 'retirement party' among …
Sep 22, 2026
Market Technicals
Bearish
Impact 75
S&P 500 Nears Record High But Breadth Flashes Rare 1929, 1999 Signal — Analyst Says ‘We’ve Never in Almost 100 Years Seen Breadth This Bad’
The S&P 500's recent rally to near record highs, while seemingly positive, is overshadowed by a significant deterioration in market breadth. This means that fewer stocks are partic…
Sep 22, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 65
Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?
The filing details the factors influencing the S&P 500's potential open, including mixed futures, new U.S. sanctions against Iranian airlines, rising oil prices, upcoming Fed comme…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 85
Fed's Musalem Says Labor Market Stable, Around Full Employment And Not A Source Of Inflation Pressure; Commodity Shock Is More Than Just Oil, Includes Base Metals Like Copper; Better For Rate Hikes To Be 'Earlier And Incremental' Rather Than 'Later And Larger'; Even When Stripping Out Supply-Related Factors, Inflation Is Still 'Too High' At Up To 3%; Business Contacts Say They Are Planning On Price Increases 'Closer To 3%'
The Fed's Musalem's comments signal a continued hawkish stance, emphasizing that inflation, even when stripping out supply factors, remains 'too high.' The preference for 'earlier …
Sep 21, 2026
Market Technicals
Bullish
Impact 75
S&P 500 Will ‘Easily’ Top 8,000 Before Historic Crash, ‘Black Swan’ Fund Manager Says
Mark Spitznagel, known for protecting investors from market crashes, is forecasting a 'euphoric rally' that will push the S&P 500 to 8,000, followed by an 80% collapse. He attribut…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 75
$6.51 Diesel Should Be Crushing the Economy: Here’s Why It Has Rarely Grown Faster
The filing reveals a paradox: despite record diesel prices ($6.51/gallon) that should act as a significant economic drag, the U.S. economy is showing robust growth, with the Atlant…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 65
Fed's Goolsbee Says Current Unemployment Rate Is "Pretty Close" To Full Employment; Business Contacts Say Labor Market Is Getting Tighter, Alternate Measures Tell The Same Story; Fed Remains Very Credible, Everyone Takes The Job Extremely Seriously; Components Of Inflation Will Matter To Fed's Analysis, With Services Inflation Not Seen As Tied To Oil Price Shock But A Product Of Strong Demand; Should Be Open To Making The Sep More Informative
The filing is a link to a speech by Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, where he states the unemployment rate is 'pretty close' to full employment and business contacts indicate a tigh…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Fed's Goolsbee Says District Contacts Are Relaying Concerns That Sound Like Traditional Demand Overheating; Not Thinking About Any Coming Hikes As Reversing Last Year’s Cuts; The Only Choice The Fed Has If Supply Shock Inflation Proves Persistent Is To Reduce Aggregate Demand; Month-To-Month Job Growth Is Not A Good Measure Of Health Of Labor Market When There Is Doubt About Population Growth Due To Immigration Policies
The filing refers to a speech by Fed President Goolsbee, indicating that district contacts are reporting signs of traditional demand overheating. This is significant because it sug…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 85
Fed's Goolsbee Says Mix Of Supply And Demand Pressures On Inflation Has More Impact On Pace Than Destination; If Inflation Is Mostly Demand Driven Rate Response Will Have To Be More Aggressive And More Front-loaded; Inflation Data Earlier This Year Seemed To Show Supply Shocks Waning; Now Some Of It Is Coming From Demand; The Fed Is Now More In The "Action Scenario" Given Mix Of Inflation Pressures
Fed Governor Goolsbee's comments signal a crucial shift in the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation, moving from predominantly supply-driven to a significant demand-driven com…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Chicago Fed National Activity For August Revises Prior From -0.08 To 0.08
This revision signals a more robust economic backdrop than initially perceived, which could lead the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for longer or delay anticipat…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 65
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones Futures Gain as Trump Issues Fresh Warning to Iran — MRVL, AAPL, ACN in Focus (UPDATED)
The filing details the positive pre-market performance of major US stock indices (Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) despite heightened geopolitical risks involving the US and Iran, w…
Sep 21, 2026
Market Technicals
Neutral
Impact 65
‘Septemberphobia’ Could Give Way to a Big October Rally Despite Trump Uncertainty: Market Strategist Points to S&P 500’s Best Midterm Month
This filing highlights a market strategist's bullish outlook for the S&P 500 in October and November, primarily driven by historical seasonality during midterm election years. Ryan…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 85
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee Says Open To Rates Going Back Down If Convincing Evidence Shows Inflation Heading To 2%; Says Fed Has Inflation Problem, Not Employment Problem
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee's comments are significant because they articulate a clear condition for potential interest rate cuts: convincing evidence of inflation headin…
Sep 21, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 85
Fed's Goolsbee Says Strong Demand May Be Adding To Inflation Along With Energy, Tariff, Other Supply Shocks; There's 'No Ambiguity' What Fed Would Do If Demand Is Overheating; Supply Shocks Are Proving To Have Persistent Impact On Inflation, Must Be Accounted For In Setting Monetary Policy; Need Evidence That Inflation From Supply Is Fading, Or It's Hard To See A 'Credible Path' Back To 2% Inflation
Goolsbee's remarks are significant as they highlight the Fed's dual concern: strong demand and persistent supply-side inflation. The 'no ambiguity' statement regarding demand overh…
Sep 20, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 75
Kashkari Said U.S. Economy Has Been Very Resilient Despite Wars, Productivity Showing Signs Of Improvement
Kashkari's statement, coming from a Federal Reserve official, signals a belief in the underlying strength of the US economy. This resilience, coupled with improving productivity, c…
Sep 20, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 85
Kashkari Said Investment Demand Tends To Push Up Interest Rates; Hopes Help From Government, Real Economy, Growth Can Bring Inflation Down
Kashkari's remarks underscore the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, indicating that strong investment demand, while a sign of economic health, can be inflationary. This suggests th…
Sep 20, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, In Fox News Interview Sunday, Said Fed’s Job Is To Get Inflation Back Down To 2% Target; Inflation Still Too High, Extends Beyond Oil Prices
Kashkari's comments underscore the Federal Reserve's unwavering focus on combating inflation, even if it extends beyond volatile energy prices. This suggests that the Fed is prepar…
Sep 18, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
USA Leading Index (MoM) For August -0.1% Vs 0.1% Est.
The USA Leading Index (MoM) for August coming in at -0.1% against an estimated 0.1% is a significant negative surprise, indicating a weakening economic outlook. This suggests that …
Sep 18, 2026
Geopolitical Risk
Bearish
Impact 85
Charlie Bilello Warns of $100 Billion Iran War Fuel Shock as $4.43 Gas Prices Show the ‘Inflation Problem’ Isn’t Over
The ongoing war in Iran, specifically over the Strait of Hormuz, has directly led to a sharp increase in crude oil prices, pushing U.S. gas prices to $4.43 per gallon. This energy …
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 65
Fed Rate Hike in October or December? Benzinga Viewers Say This is More Likely
The filing details the results of a Benzinga viewer poll and compares them to Kalshi prediction market odds regarding the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. This matter…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 65
Trump's Inflation Approval Slumps to 19%: What Do Prediction Markets Say About the Midterms?
The filing reveals President Trump's inflation approval has plummeted to an unprecedented 19%, with even Republicans showing dissatisfaction. This sentiment is directly influencing…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 85
Major indices are trading higher amid a retreat in oil prices and bond yields. Confidence that Saudi Arabia will be able to replace lost oil export capacity, coupled with the Fed's largely expected hawkish tone after yesterday's rate hike, may be fueling relief buying across markets.
This headline signals a significant shift in market sentiment, moving from fear of inflation and supply shocks to relief. The retreat in oil prices, driven by confidence in Saudi A…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 75
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq 100 Futures Gain Despite 25 Bps Fed Rate Hike— SNAP, LEN, GNRC in Focus (UPDATED)
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike was a key event, but the market's positive reaction (futures gaining) suggests it was either anticipated or interpreted as less aggre…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Cuts His S&P 500 Target: The Problem Isn’t Corporate Profits
Ed Yardeni, a prominent Wall Street bull, has significantly cut his S&P 500 year-end target due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the resulting surge in Treasury yields. …
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 65
Continuing Jobless Claims Prior Revised From 1.774M To 1.769M
This revision, though small, indicates a marginally tighter labor market than initially reported. A stronger labor market could give the Federal Reserve more leeway to maintain hig…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 75
Philly Fed Employment For Sept. 11.8 Vs 27.9 Prior
The Philly Fed Employment index is a key regional economic indicator, and its sharp decline from 27.9 to 11.8 suggests a significant weakening in the labor market within the Mid-At…
Sep 17, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 85
Continuing Jobless Claims 1.73M Vs 1.78M Expected
The lower-than-expected continuing jobless claims indicate a stronger labor market than anticipated, which is generally positive for economic growth but could complicate the Federa…
Sep 17, 2026
Market Technicals
Neutral
Impact 65
S&P 500 Could Deliver Another 6% by Year-End as JPMorgan Calls Bears an ‘Extinct Species’ — Polymarket Bettors Price 35% Odds
JPMorgan's equity strategists are forecasting a significant upside for the S&P 500, targeting 8,000 by 2026, driven by U.S. economic resilience and robust AI-led corporate capital …
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 95
Stocks Sink, 10-Year Yield Reclaims 5% as Warsh Delivers His Hawkish Show
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's post-hike press conference was decidedly hawkish, reiterating the Fed's commitment to price stability and dismissing the idea that policy was al…
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 85
Fed Hikes 25 Basis Points, Projects Another Hike in 2026: Do Prediction Markets Agree?
The Federal Reserve's decision to hike rates by 25 basis points and project another hike in 2026 signals a continued commitment to combating inflation, even at the risk of higher-f…
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bearish
Impact 95
Major indices are trading lower as Fed Chairman Warsh takes a hawkish tone in his press conference and Q&A session after the FOMC rate hike, including committing to returning 2% inflation on a timely basis, referencing FOMC consensus that financial conditions weren't restrictive, and noting that too many inflation categories were over 3% on three- and six-month timelines.
Fed Chairman Warsh's hawkish comments, particularly the commitment to 2% inflation and the assessment of non-restrictive financial conditions, indicate that the Federal Reserve is …
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 75
Fed Chair Warsh Says What Happened In 7 Weeks Since We Last Met, Data Has Shown Economy Has Strengthened; Inflation Trends Were Not Passing Test And Seen Little To Change That; My Colleagues Are Hard Pressed To Describe Financial Conditions As Restrictive; We Decided To Remove A Dose Of Accommodation; I've Always Been Interested In A Neutral Rate Academically, But Don't See It Having An Operational Effect On Decisions Today
The filing provides a link to a video of former Fed Chair Warsh's remarks. His comments highlight a strengthening economy and persistent inflation, implying that the Federal Reserv…
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Neutral
Impact 75
Fed Chair Warsh Says Those Less Well Off Have Most To Gain From That; Did Not Offer Own Summary of Economic Projection; Decision We Made Today Was A Sober Decision; Am Not Going To Prejudge Any Future Decision We May Make; Decision Today Was The Right Decision, I Have Nothing For You About A Discussion With The President; Because Of Underlying Strength Of The Economy We Can Afford To Focus On Price Stability
Fed Chair Warsh's statements, as reported in this 8-K, emphasize the Federal Reserve's commitment to price stability, asserting that the underlying strength of the economy allows f…
Sep 16, 2026
Macro/Central Bank
Bullish
Impact 92
Major indices are trading higher following the FOMC decision to increase the target range for the fed funds rate from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00% as Fed expectations for another rate hike in 2026 largely reflect investor expectations heading into the event.
The market's positive reaction to a rate hike signals that the decision was largely anticipated and priced in. The key takeaway is the alignment of Fed and investor expectations re…
Not financial advice. AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Tradow AI LLC is not a registered investment adviser.