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benzinga Market Technicals Impact 65/100 ● positive

Bitcoin Could Deliver '3-5x Rather Than Another 10x' This Cycle, Analyst Says

Sep 23, 2026, 1:29 PM UTC · Primary ticker $BTC

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggests the current Bitcoin bull cycle will yield 3-5x gains due to increased institutional ownership and market maturity, rather than the 10x parabolic runs seen in retail-driven cycles. This shift implies less volatile price action, with smaller crashes and more sustained growth, attracting long-horizon capital.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju posits that Bitcoin's market dynamics have fundamentally changed, moving away from retail-driven 10x parabolic runs and 80% crashes towards more moderate 3-5x gains. This is attributed to growing institutional ownership and a more mature market structure, evidenced by the PnL Index and MVRV ratio. The implication is a less volatile, more stable growth trajectory for Bitcoin, which could attract patient, long-horizon capital over 'hot money.' While this suggests a potentially less explosive short-term upside, it also implies reduced downside risk, making Bitcoin a more appealing asset for institutional investors. The long-term opportunity lies in sustained, albeit slower, growth, while the short-term risk of a massive parabolic surge might be diminished.

$BTC neutral Primary subject of analysis
Source: benzinga
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