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benzinga Geopolitical Risk Impact 75/100 ● negative

Trump Promised Cheaper Gas. Now His Team Blames Ukraine—and Paul Krugman Says They Have 'No Cards' Left to Stop It

Sep 3, 2026, 11:59 AM UTC · Primary ticker $BNO

The filing discloses the Trump administration's attempt to attribute rising fuel prices to Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy assets. Paul Krugman argues this highlights Washington's diminished influence over Kyiv's war strategy, suggesting the US has no effective means to compel Ukraine to alter its actions, which could prolong energy price volatility.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, part of the Trump administration, publicly blamed Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy infrastructure for the current 'energy shock' and rising domestic fuel costs. Paul Krugman countered that this blame game reveals Washington's lack of leverage over Ukraine, especially after cutting military aid, leaving them unable to influence Kyiv's strategy. This situation matters because it suggests continued geopolitical instability impacting global energy supplies, leading to sustained high oil and gas prices. For traders, this implies continued upward pressure on crude oil ETFs like BNO and USO in the short to medium term, as the conflict and its energy implications show no signs of immediate resolution. The key risk is prolonged inflation driven by energy costs, while the opportunity lies in long positions on oil-related assets.

$BNO positive Tracks Brent Crude, rising with geopolitical tensions
$USO positive Tracks WTI Crude, rising with geopolitical tensions
Source: benzinga
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Not financial advice. AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only.